A moment for strategy
I think Democrats have realized that the Republicans are so determined to nominate [insert pubbie dipstick name here], that they no longer need their "A" team. It occurs to me that the smarter Democrat strategists (potential oxymoron, I know), have discerned that removing the "Hillary Hate" factor from the election cycle will help ensure that the maximum number of center-right voters stay home this Fall. The offer of Attorney General to Edwards brings the unions and the victim class firmly under Obama's tent. He could potentially have the Democrat base sewn up by Spring.
For the first time in two years, Hillary has developed cracks in her inevitability.
Is anyone else as awed as I am at the irony of Hillary's ambitions being dashed by the complete incompetence of the Republicans themselves?
For the first time in two years, Hillary has developed cracks in her inevitability.
Is anyone else as awed as I am at the irony of Hillary's ambitions being dashed by the complete incompetence of the Republicans themselves?
posted by Anonymous | 1:50 PM
8 Comments:
I think Democrats have realized that the Republicans are so determined to nominate [insert pubbie dipstick name here], that they no longer need their "A" team.
In reality — which is not the headspace of 2008 Republican primary voters — the Hillary campaign is no Democratic 'A team,' Steve. It's more like a bunch of famous-but-old-and-retired political 'hall-of-famers.' In other words, they're not players anymore. Some of us have realized this for a while. For everyone else, it's surprising. Go figure.
It occurs to me that the smarter Democrat strategists (potential oxymoron, I know), have discerned that removing the "Hillary Hate" factor from the election cycle will help ensure that the maximum number of center-right voters stay home this Fall.
Not having Hillary in the big race will deter the "anybody but Hillary" contingent, yes.
At least aesthetically, potential voters will vote for "Change" in 2008. With too many people tiring of the Bush/Clinton power-share, Hillary's last name no longer sells the hard ticket.
I predict that John McCain will do his best Bob Dole for the big race, and Obama will win.
I wouldn't count Hillary out. I don't think she is the invincible juggernaut she was a year or so ago, but the landscape is littered with the bodies, real and figurative, of those who underestimated the Clinton machine.
I just think it incredibly ironic that the Republicans will manage to achieve their goal of "stopping Hillary" by nominating one of three imbeciles and losing the White House.
I believe Hillary will still be the Democrat nominee. She'll win the delegate-rich states like California and New York.
On the GOP side, the race is down to McCain and Romney. Romney needs Rudy to stay in the race to split the moderate/liberal vote with McCain, and McCain needs Huckabee to stay in the race to split the moderate/conservative vote with Romney.
Whoever the GOP nominee is will be the next president of the United States.
Whoever the GOP nominee is will be the next president of the United States.
Only if first-time (or hardly ever) voters don't show up at the polls. Unless some things change in between now and November (economic news, mainly), I think we'll see record turnout. For that turnout to be Democratic, Hillary can't be the nom; if she continues, the turnout will be Republican. Democrats are realizing that she has to go. Republicans, preoccupied with Hillary, aren't going to attack Obama, who will definitely be the man to win in November if the overall '08 US economy doesn't correct itself by then.
I believe Hillary will still be the Democrat nominee. She'll win the delegate-rich states like California and New York.
If Obama would go ahead and hint that Edwards is Attorney General and Bill Richardson is VP in an Obama administration, he'd wipe those two states.
Why would Obama be the man to win in November if the economy is bad? If Romney is the GOP nominee, economic issues play to his strength.
All of the GOP candidates (except Ron Paul) must be at least slightly retarded. Tune into any GOP debate or candidate interview and they all are competing for who is the most in favor of Bush's Iraq War. They all make childish, idiotic statements like, "I supported the President first!" And, "It was a good idea to invade Iraq in to 2003 and it's still a good idea."
Uninformed statements like those might help get one of these morons the GOP nomination but, in case they haven't noticed, a vast majority of the country does not hold the same opinion. The only way to continue this unnecesary "nation building" is for the US to continue borrowing money from China and Saudi Arabia -- not exactly the model of fiscal responsibility is it? "Oh yeah, and since we're running a deficit already, let's go ahead and cut taxes too." Great idea.
The only thing that might save whatever GOP monkey-brain gets his party's nomination come November is the fact the Democrats don't offer anything significantly better. Hillary is as much responsible for the Iraq debaucle as any Republican member of Congress, and Obama's plan consists entirely of "bringing change" to American politics (whatever that means).
Additionally, once the party candidates are decided this summer, the GOP will ratchet up the same old tired "queers and baby-killers" propoganda which has been so effective for the last decade. You can be assured however, that if a DEM or a REP wins the presidency nothing will change for the better.....
Write in Ron Paul!!!!
If the two nominees happen to be Clinton & McCain, then both parties will have large segments that will be equally depressed.
Additionally, once the party candidates are decided this summer, the GOP will ratchet up the same old tired "queers and baby-killers" propoganda which has been so effective for the last decade.
And the "queers and baby-killers" BS is what continues to hurt the GOP. The first party to get out of the social issues business will be the first party to dominate American politics.
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