The Republican Devolution
By Philip Klein
A fortnight before the 1998 Congressional elections, House Speaker Newt Gingrich predicted that Republicans, who had just passed a pork-laden spending bill, would gain from 10 to 40 seats. Instead, they lost three seats, as turnout among conservatives dropped 6 percent from the 1994 mid-term elections.
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One thing is for sure. With an energized base of Democratic voters eager to take back Congress, Republicans cannot afford a drop in turnout similar to 1998. And if they do lose power, they'll have nobody to blame but themselves.
A fortnight before the 1998 Congressional elections, House Speaker Newt Gingrich predicted that Republicans, who had just passed a pork-laden spending bill, would gain from 10 to 40 seats. Instead, they lost three seats, as turnout among conservatives dropped 6 percent from the 1994 mid-term elections.
...
One thing is for sure. With an energized base of Democratic voters eager to take back Congress, Republicans cannot afford a drop in turnout similar to 1998. And if they do lose power, they'll have nobody to blame but themselves.
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