How Clinton Won
(Real Clear Politics) - Hillary Clinton won last night by putting together the voting coalition that has held Democratic frontrunners in good stead for 75 years. Take a look at these numbers - all of which come from CNN's cross-tabulated exit polls. What you'll see is that Hillary Clinton won many elements of the traditional FDR coalition.
posted by BP News Bureau | 8:49 AM
3 Comments:
From American Thinker:
Yet another media embarrassment, as the unstoppable wave of support for Obama turned out to be quite stoppable. Despite stories of hundreds of supporters bussed in from New York and Massachusetts to fill the empty rallies in New Hampshire, it appears that Hillary was able to turn out her vote better than Obama.
I suspect that a monumental effort was mounted to get her voters to the polls, and the thinner ranks of the Obama organization couldn't match it. Perhaps lulled by the media's certainty of an Obama sweep, some Obama voters stayed home.
I am delighted that we'll still have Hillary to discuss. I look forward to oppo research on Obama coming out.
I also think the GOP remains fractured, and McCain's victory is not anything approaching a wave that sweep away the others.
We have two bruising races ahead.
I wrote yesterday that I wasn't buying the predictions that Hillary would drop out antyime soon. But I didn't anticipate her bounce back. Perhaps the tearing-up did help humanize her. She appears to have run very well among women, and that might be a factor.
Listening to her victory speech tonight I was reminded of how unpleasant her voice is on the ears. It is simply grating. Especially when she gets excited in front of a crowd. I cannot imagine her as president.
From National Review Online:
Hillary Clinton won the votes of traditional New Hampshire Democrats yesterday. Barack Obama won the new Democrats.
Clinton won every ward in Manchester and Nashua. She won the old industrial cities of Claremont and Berlin and the city of Rochester and large town of Salem. She won the wards where the state's minority voters
— black and Hispanic — live. And she won women.
Obama won the far-left, coffee-shop strongholds of Concord, Hanover, Lebanon, Keene and Portsmouth. He won the Starbucks crowd; she won the Dunkin' Donuts crowd.
Clinton's margin of victory in Manchester and Nashua was more than 5,000 votes.
The Jeanne Shaheen machine and the traditional Democratic Party coalition of blue collar and middle class families carried the day for Clinton while Obama's wealthy, educated, elite Democratic and independent supporters put up a good fight but were left sobbing in their lattes.
From the Real Clear Politics Blog:
Analysts are this morning busy poring over turnout totals, or tapes of last Saturday night's debate and Hillary's "emotional moment" in an effort to find the place where she turned it all around. But what may have changed the dynamic in New Hampshire is a phenomenon we have seen before in presidential politics.
In 1980, every time Jimmy Carter appeared to be about to close the deal with Ted Kennedy in the Democratic primaries, Kennedy would turn around and win another primary. Perhaps voters wanted to punish Carter (hardly the scenario here); more likely, they didn't want the race to end, and so they voted, somewhat tactically and perhaps subconsciously, to let it continue.
That force may well have been at work last night, at least for enough voters to make a difference in a close race. In the 36 hours before the primary, the press was full of stories how Clinton might be forced to quit the contest and how Obama was on the verge of becoming unstoppable. (That those stories were false and full of bad analysis are beside the point.) Enough voters may well have decided that it was too early to crown Obama; he was too new, or Hillary deserved a second chance, or whatever. So they voted to let the race go on.
And so it does, thanks to New Hampshire.
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